Our algorithm identifies value bets by comparing our predictions to bookmaker odds. Stakes sized using Kelly Criterion.
These tips are for entertainment and educational purposes. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If you feel gambling is becoming a problem, visit BeGambleAware.org.
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Value = (Our Probability × Decimal Odds) - 1
Example:
Our probability: 45%
Bookmaker odds: 2.50 (40% implied)
Value = (0.45 × 2.50) - 1 = +12.5%
Kelly Criterion calculates optimal bet sizing to maximize long-term growth while managing risk.
Formula:
f* = (bp - q) / b
b = odds - 1, p = our probability, q = 1 - p
We use 25% Kelly for safety